Lets remember one stat before we go on – the players in last season’s Aston Villa team only won three league games. Now, of course, it doesn’t necessarily equate to them being bad players individually, but it’s not exactly going to inflate their transfer fee values.
Last summer, Villa’s ultimately disastrous rebuilding of the team was financed with the £40 million or so received from the sales of Christian Benteke and Fabian Delph. From the reports of the players that the club will move on during this summer, the British media seems to suggest the club will have a lot more money to rebuild for the Championship, before the new owner Tony Xia has to dip his hands in his own pockets.
Grealish – £20 million?
First of all the Daily Telegraph reported at the end of May that Stoke City were leading a bunch of clubs, including Spurs and Everton, looking to obtain the services of Jack Grealish. Some hacks claimed the England U21 player was valued up to £20 million (are there two Jack Grealish’s in this world?!)
We won’t go into the merits/hype/potential of Grealish here, but if someone offered you £20 million, you’d bite their arm off. If you think like MOMS that £20m is pie in the sky, then what about Mr Tim Sherwood’s valuation? It’s a big shame that Tim Sherwood isn’t currently a manager of a wealthy team, because Villa would be really be laughing all the way to the bank. Sherwood’s valuation of Grealish was £40 million higher than even the pie in the sky.
“I wouldn’t want to sell Jack Grealish for £60m today, put it that way,” said Sherwood, while he was Villa manager. “I know what he could possibly be.”
Lets me honest though, at the moment, the value of Grealish is likely to be less than £10m, even taking into account the price would be inflated by him being English.
While it would be very good to see what Jack could do given 35+ games in the Championship for Villa, if a club offered £8m, you’d give it serious thought, considering his lightweight contribution to Villa so far.
Ciaran Clark – £5 million?
Last month, The Daily Telegraph and others reported that Ciaran Clark was being monitored by both Sunderland and WBA, citing he had a release clause of £5 million. Would any Premier League club trigger that? Judging by his errors at Euro 2016, so far, I doubt it.
If they did, then so long Clarky. Now is not the time for “well, he might develop into a decent centre back”
Jordan Veretout – £7.5 million?
If recent reports are to be believed Jordan Veretout is rumoured to be attracting the interest of Celta Vigo and Real Betis, amongst others for around £7.5 million. That amount is close enough to what Villa first bought him for, so happy days.
Veretout has never settled in at Villa Park and while he was mooted to potentially be the best of Villa’s summer signings, you wouldn’t say no to any offer that got the club their money back.
I know it’s hard to believe, but maybe Sherwood was actually right about Veretout not being a Premier League player?
Jordan Amavi – £12 million?
There’s been a lot of hot air in the press about the prospect of Jordan Amavi attracting the interests of AC Milan, Liverpool, Lyon and Arsenal. One reoccurring figure, in terms of the transfer fee, seems to be 14 million Euros.
Now, if you’ve read some football blogs that have cut and pasted the ‘Amavi to AC Milan’ story, they’ve quoted £14 million. Some people still have a serious problem with converting Euros to pounds.
A lot of national press have converted 14m euros to £12 million, but it’s actually just under £11m. Even at the lowest amount of all the media reports, £11 million in the coffers to aid a complete squad overhaul would be a ‘yes, please’. Especially if this represented around a £1-2m profit.
Yes, Amavi looks a good prospect, but he only played 12 games in total for Villa and has had a long lay-off. So, pretend it never happened and just take the cash. I would be very surprised if any team paid over £10m for him though.
Jordan Ayew – £6 million
Interestingly, the late April reports of West Ham’s interest in Jordan Ayew at £6m, were the first reports of any of Villa’s new recruits devaluing. To be fair, £6m is closer to the actual value of the Ghanian even though it represents a loss around £2.5m on what Villa paid for him.
While Roberto Di Matteo has expressed an interest in keeping Ayew, he has admitted it’s perhaps unlikely, as Ayew is keen to play at a higher level than the Championship.
To be honest, MOMS only saw Ayew as a third striker anyway, an extra option up front (in a half-decent Villa team), so if the club can get closer to the £8.5m they are reported to have paid, then you’d take it.
Idrissa Gueye – £7.1 million
The Daily Mail reported last month that Idrissa Gueye was interested in a return to the Premier League ahead of a move by to France, after Marseille had shown an interest in the Villa midfielder.
The paper also reported Gueye had a release clause of £7.1m, the question is though, would a Premier League club pay that? While Gueye’s stats added up in the Premier League, in the real world, he didn’t exactly have much influence on games judging by the real stats of the club having a 17 point season.
The release clause would represent a £1-2 million loss on the player, but considering the inflated price they paid, that surely wouldn’t be an issue.
In MOMS opinion, a Premier club would think twice about parting with £7m for the services of Gueye, so his future is not as clean-cut as you’d think. Maybe a deal closer to £6m would have to be accepted, if Villa were ok to let the player go at that price.
If you added up all the media reported potential transfer fees of the above players, Villa would have a sizeable injection of £57.6m into the coffers to rebuild a squad. Even if you reduced Grealish’s amount by £12m, you’re still over what Benteke & Delph brought in last summer.
If new owner Tony Xia believes what he reads in the papers, then the deal to buy Villa was a no brainer and potentially done on the cheap. Factor in a potential of £80m parachute payments and this extra income from player sales and it would mean Xia wouldn’t actually have to touch much of his own cash in the early years of owning Villa.
The main issue about the aforementioned players though and the more obvious players that need offloading, is the timing. Di Matteo would ideally like to get rid of the deadwood early doors in the window, which would mean Villa may accept early lower offers, rather than haggle all the way to deadline day for a better price.
Feel free to point it out to MOMS later, if we’re wrong, but most of the above valuations by the press are unrealistic. In saying that, there should still be a considerable amount available to Di Matteo to be reinvested, if the likes of Veretout, Gueye and Ayew do go.