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Half-way to Where?
As we pass the half-way mark in the 2019/20 Premier League season with Aston Villa now placed in the bottom three, Villa supporters are now no doubt getting a bit twitchy. The worst away record in the division, a habit of capitulation against 10-men teams, a porous defence and a lack of threat going forward. I could go on, but in short, the concern over Premier League survival is real.
While social media is already a flood with people over the Christmas period ringing the clanging chimes of doom and shouting #SmithOut, the more level-headed Villans are looking at the bigger picture and how can Smith and Villa get out of their current predicament.
After all, Villa only finished 5th in the Championship last season, and that was only after putting a 10-game winning run together. Villa were a Championship team in transition and now, before they even had to conquer that division, they are now in the Premier League, very much learning on the job, after a large turnover of players.
MOMS will discuss the bigger picture soon in a forthcoming feature and on the My Old Man Said podcast, when it begins again in the New Year.
In the meantime, MOMS reader Kristoffer Rasmussen has sent in his ‘Villa Stay or Villa Go Meter’, or, roughly translated, a progress chart for the rest of the season to see if Villa are heading for relegation or not?
The Villa Relegation or Not Meter
How it Stacks Up
Based on Premier League history, in terms of survival, anything less than 36 points is a no-no – you’re relegated. Get above 42 points and you’re as good as safe in the Premier League come the end of the season.
In between those two numbers is the danger zone, explains Kristoffer.
So to monitor and illustrate Villa’s progress in the league with stats rather than just gut feeling, he’s put together the following chart, so you too can track Villa’s progress.
While Kristoffer admits, it maybe stating the obvious, the progress chart does illustrate the seriousness of Villa’s current predicament.
There’s certainly some points to be make up already…
Follow Kristoffer Rasmussen on Twitter here @kristoffer2610
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